Wednesday, October 22, 2014

NBA Preview Series: San Antonio Spurs

Last Year
62-20 (1st in NBA)
OFF: 108.2 (6th)
DEF: 100.1 (4th)
NET: 8.1 (1st)



Projected Rotation (Projected WS/48)
Starters
PG - Tony Parker (.163)
SG - Danny Green (.125)
SF - Kawhi Leonard (.178)
PF - Tim Duncan (.173)
C - Tiago Splitter (.173)

Reserves
SG - Manu Ginobili (.173)
PF - Boris Diaw (.115)
PG - Patty Mills (.154)
SG - Marco Belinelli (.115)
PF - Jeff Ayres (.120)


Quick Thoughts:
The Spurs return every player from their postseason roster, the most dominant playoff team since the 2001 Lakers (as defined by NBA.com's net rating). They should remain favorites heading into this season, but afterwards will see contracts expire from Tony Parker, Tim Duncan, Manu Ginobili, Danny Green, Marco Belinelli, and Jeff Ayres, along with potential restricted free agency from Kawhi Leonard and Cory Joseph. That's a lot of important decisions to be made, but all the evidence points towards them making good choices with these players. But it at least makes you wonder, is this the final season of the Spurs' "big three"?


Player to Watch: Manu Ginobili
After the 2013 season, many were quick to dismiss Ginobili after an abysmal Finals series in which he shot only 43% from the field while turning the ball over more than 20% of the time, and just looking generally washed up. However, Manu responded last season by producing .176 WS/48 in just over 1500 minutes, and playing even better in the playoffs. While he's not the overall superstar he once was, his efficient shot selection and excellent playmaking ability remain, allowing him to remain effective in a more limited role. Ginobili should be a reminder to basketball thinkers that seven games is a small sample size, and we should not write off an aging star too quickly.


Basketball-Reference.com Play Index:

Who are the most valuable defenders of all-time?


RkPlayerMPDRB%STL%BLK%DRtgDWS
1Bill Russell*40726133.6
2Tim Duncan4360526.61.14.69598.1
3Kareem Abdul-Jabbar*5744621.71.23.89994.5
4Hakeem Olajuwon*4422223.82.45.49894.5
5Wilt Chamberlain*4785993.9
6Karl Malone*5485223.51.91.510192.4
7Kevin Garnett4891025.91.93.19989.3
8Elvin Hayes*5000022.11.22.99783.7
9Patrick Ewing*4059424.71.44.89981.4
10David Robinson*3427123.42.15.79680.1


Next up, the Los Angeles Clippers

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