Sunday, October 26, 2014

NBA Preview Series: Atlanta Hawks

Last Year
38-44 (18th in NBA)
OFF: 103.4 (15th)
DEF: 104.1 (15th)
NET: -0.7 (18th)



Projected Rotation (Projected WS/48)
Starters
PG - Jeff Teague (.106)
SG - Kyle Korver (.130)
SF - DeMarre Carroll (.120)
PF - Paul Millsap (.144)
C - Al Horford (.144)

Reserves
SG - Thabo Sefolosha (.110)
PF - Mike Scott (.086)
PF - Elton Brand (.120)
PG - Shelvin Mack (.072)
SG - John Jenkins (.062)


Quick Thoughts:
Last season, the Hawks were the third best team in the East until Al Horford went down with a shoulder injury on December 26th. Afterwards, they went 22-31 and backed into the East's eighth seed. Even though they gave Indiana a lot of trouble in the first round, they weren't a very good team without Horford, and haven't been for the last several years. In four of the last five seasons, Atlanta has a negative point differential when he's not playing, and a positive one when he is. With a healthy Horford, and a coach who seems to maximize the talent on his roster, the Hawks should return to being one of the better teams in the East.


Player to Watch: DeMarre Carroll
Carroll has always had a reputation as a defense-first wing, which made him a natural fit next to Kyle Korver. Last season though, he added a three point shot to his game, shooting 39% on 268 attempts, turning him into a valuable "3 and D" wing. But Carroll does some other things well, like rebounding and finishing near the basket, which is why he should remain a starter even though the Hawks added Thabo Sefolosha this offseason. 


Basketball-Reference.com Play Index:

How many big men took at least 200 three pointers and made at least 35% of them last season?

Player3PA3P%
Kevin Love505.376
Dirk Nowitzki329.398
Carmelo Anthony415.402
Paul Millsap212.358
Josh McRoberts291.361
Channing Frye432.370
Spencer Hawes308.416
Anthony Tolliver247.413
Marvin Williams234.350


Next up, the Charlotte Hornets

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